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Optimal Ordering Policy and Coordination Mechanism of a Supply Chain with Controllable Lead-Time-Dependent Demand Forecast

机译:可控延期依赖需求预测供应链的最佳排序与协调机制

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摘要

This paper investigates the ordering decisions and coordination mechanism for a distributed short-life-cycle supply chain. The objective is to maximize the whole supply chain's expected profit and meanwhile make the supply chain participants achieve a Pareto improvement. We treat lead time as a controllable variable, thus the demand forecast is dependent on lead time: the shorter lead time, the better forecast. Moreover, optimal decision-making models for lead time and order quantity are formulated and compared in the decentralized and centralized cases. Besides, a three-parameter contract is proposed to coordinate the supply chain and alleviate the double margin in the decentralized scenario. In addition, based on the analysis of the models, we develop an algorithmic procedure to find the optimal ordering decisions. Finally, a numerical example is also presented to illustrate the results.
机译:本文调查了分布式短生循环供应链的排序决策和协调机制。目标是最大限度地提高整个供应链的预期利润,同时使供应链参与者实现帕累托改善。我们将递送时间视为可控变量,因此需求预测取决于交货时间:较短的交货时间,更好的预测。此外,在分散和集中式案例中配制并比较了用于提前时间和订单数量的最佳决策模型。此外,提出了一个三参数合同,以协调供应链,并减轻分散方案中的双重保证金。此外,基于模型的分析,我们开发了一种算法过程,以找到最佳排序决策。最后,还提出了一个数值例子以说明结果。

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