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Optimal control problem on COVID-19 disease transmission model considering medical mask, disinfectants and media campaign

机译:考虑医用面膜,消毒剂和媒体运动的Covid-19疾病传输模型的最佳控制问题

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摘要

In this paper, a system of ordinary differential equation approach is developed to understand the spread of COVID-19. We first formulate the dynamic model by dividing the human population based on their health status, awareness status, and also including the free virus on the environment. We provide a basic analysis of the model regarding the well-posed properties and how the basic reproduction number can be used to determine the final state of COVID-19 in the population. A Pontryagin Maximum’s Principle used to construct the model as an optimal control problem in a purpose to determine the most effective strategies against the spread of COVID-19. Three control strategies involved in the model, such as media campaign to develop an awareness of individuals, medical masks to prevent direct transmission, and use of disinfectant to reduce the number of free virus in the environment. Through numerical simulations, we find that the time-dependent control succeeds in reducing the outbreak of COVID-19. Furthermore, if the intervention should be implemented as a single intervention, then the media campaign gives the most effective cost strategy.
机译:在本文中,常微分方程方法的系统开发,了解COVID-19的传播。我们首先通过将根据自己的健康状况,意识状态的人口,也包括了对环境的游离病毒制定动态模型。我们提供有关适定属性的模型,以及如何基本再生数可用于确定在人口COVID-19的最终状态的基本分析。一个庞特里亚金最大值原理用于构造模型作为最优控制问题,其目的在于确定对COVID-19蔓延的最有效的战略。参与模型三个控制策略,如媒体宣传,发展个体的意识,医用口罩,以防止直接传输和使用消毒液,以减少对环境无病毒的数量。通过数值模拟,我们发现,与时间相关的控制在减少COVID-19的爆发成功。此外,如果干预应作为一个单一的干预来实现,那么,媒体宣传给人最有效的成本战略。

著录项

  • 作者

    Dipo Aldila;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2020
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 fra/fre;eng
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