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Environmental influences on the intensity changes of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific

机译:环境对北太平洋西部热带气旋强度变化的影响

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摘要

The influence of environmental conditions on the intensity changes oftropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) is investigatedthrough examination of 37 TCs during 2000–2011 that interacted directly withthe western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). Comprehensive compositeanalysis of the environmental conditions is performed for two stages ofstorms: one is categorized as intensifying events (maximum wind speedincreases by 15 kn over 48 h) and the other is categorized as weakeningevents (maximum wind speed decreases by 15 kn over 48 h). Comparison of thecomposite analysis of these two cases show that environmental conditionsassociated with the WNPSH play important roles in the intensity changes ofTCs over the WNP. When a TC moves along the southern periphery of the WNPSH,the relatively weaker easterly environmental vertical wind shear helps bringwarm moist air from the south and southeast to its southeast quadrant within500 km, which is favorable for the TC to intensify. However,when a TC moves along the western edge of the WNPSH, under the combinedinfluences of the WNPSH and an upper-level westerly trough, a strongwesterly vertical shear promotes the intrusion of dry environmental airassociated with the WNPSH from the north and northwest, which may lead tothe inhibition of moisture supply and convection over the western half of theTC and thus its weakening. These composite results are consistent with thosewith additional geographic restrictions, suggesting that the dry airintrusion and the vertical wind shear (VWS) associated with the WNPSH,indeed affect the intensity changes of TCs over the WNP beyond thedifference related solely to variations in geographical locations. Theaverage sea surface temperature (SST) of 27.6 °C for the weakeningevents is also lower than an average of 28.9 °C for the strengtheningevents, but remains above the critical value of 27 °C for TCintensification, suggesting that the SST may be regarded as a less positivefactor for the weakening events.
机译:通过考察2000-2011年间与北太平洋副热带高压(WNPSH)直接相互作用的37个TC,研究了环境条件对北太平洋西部(WNP)热带气旋(TC)强度变化的影响。针对两个阶段的暴风雨进行了环境条件的综合综合分析:一个被分类为强化事件(在48小时内最大风速增加15 kn),另一个被分类为减弱事件(在48小时内最大风速降低15 kn)。对这两种情况的综合分析的比较表明,与WNPSH相关的环境条件在WNP上TCs强度变化中起重要作用。当热带气旋沿着WNPSH的南部边缘移动时,相对较弱的东风环境垂直风切变有助于将温暖的潮湿空气从南部和东南部带入500公里以内的东南象限,这有利于热带气旋的加剧。但是,当热带气旋沿着WNPSH的西边缘移动时,在WNPSH和高层西风槽的共同作用下,强烈的西风向垂直切变促进了WNPSH伴生的干燥环境空气从北部和西北部侵入。导致该地区西半部的水分供应和对流受到抑制,从而减弱了其强度。这些综合结果与具有额外地理限制的结果一致,表明与WNPSH相关的干空气侵入和垂直风切变(VWS)实际上影响了WNP上TC的强度变化,而不仅仅是与地理位置变化有关的差异。减弱事件的平均海面温度(SST)为27.6°C,也低于增强事件的平均28.9°C,但仍高于TC强化的27°C的临界值,这表明SST可被视为减弱事件的积极因素较少。

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