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Patterns in atmospheric carbonaceous aerosols in China: emission estimates and observed concentrations

机译:中国大气碳质气溶胶的模式:排放估算和观测浓度

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摘要

China is experiencing severe carbonaceous aerosol pollution driven mainly bylarge emissions resulting from intensive use of solid fuels. To gain abetter understanding of the levels and trends of carbonaceous aerosolemissions and the resulting ambient concentrations at the national scale, weupdate an emission inventory of anthropogenic organic carbon (OC) andelemental carbon (EC) and employ existing observational studies to analyzecharacteristics of these aerosols including temporal, spatial, and sizedistributions, and the levels and shares of secondary organic carbon (SOC)in total OC. We further use ground observations to test the levels andinter-annual trends of the calculated national and provincial emissions ofcarbonaceous aerosols, and propose possible improvements in emissionestimation for the future. The national OC emissions are estimated to haveincreased 29 % from 2000 (2127 Gg) to 2012 (2749 Gg) and EC by 37 %(from 1356 to 1857 Gg). The residential, industrial, and transportationsectors contributed an estimated 74–78, 17–21, and 4–6 % of thetotal emissions of OC, respectively, and 49–55, 30–34, and 14–18 %of EC. Updated emission factors (EFs) based on the most recent local fieldmeasurements, particularly for biofuel stoves, led to considerably loweremissions of OC compared to previous inventories. Compiling observationaldata across the country, higher concentrations of OC and EC are found innorthern and inland cities, while higher OC / EC ratios are found in southernsites, due to the joint effects of primary emissions and meteorology.Higher OC / EC ratios are estimated at rural and remote sites compared tourban ones, attributed to more emissions of OC from biofuel use, morebiogenic emissions of volatile organic compound (VOC) precursors to SOC,and/or transport of aged aerosols. For most sites, higher concentrations ofOC, EC, and SOC are observed in colder seasons, while SOC / OC is reduced,particularly at rural and remote sites, attributed partly to weakeratmospheric oxidation and SOC formation compared to summer. Enhanced SOCformation from oxidization and anthropogenic activities like biomasscombustion is judged to have crucial effects on severe haze eventscharacterized by high particle concentrations. Several observational studiesindicate an increasing trend in ambient OC / EC (but not in OC or ECindividually) from 2000 to 2010, confirming increased atmospheric oxidationof OC across the country. Combining the results of emission estimation andobservations, the improvement over prior emission inventories is indicatedby inter-annual comparisons and correlation analysis. It is also indicated,however, that the estimated growth in emissions might be faster thanobserved growth, and that some sources with high primary OC / EC, such as burningof biomass, are still underestimated. Further studies to determine changingEFs over time in the residential sector and to compare to othermeasurements, such as satellite observations, are thus suggested to improveunderstanding of the levels and trends of primary carbonaceous aerosolemissions in China.
机译:中国正在经历严重的碳质气溶胶污染,这主要是由于大量使用固体燃料而产生的大量排放所致。为了更好地了解全国范围内碳质气溶胶排放的水平和趋势以及由此产生的环境浓度,我们更新了人为有机碳(OC)和元素碳(EC)的排放清单,并利用现有的观测研究来分析这些气溶胶的特征,包括时间,空间和尺寸分布,以及总有机碳中次要有机碳(SOC)的含量和份额。我们进一步使用地面观测来测试计算出的碳质气溶胶的国家和省级碳排放量的水平和年际趋势,并提出可能在未来的排放估算中进行改进。从2000年(2127 Gg)到2012年(2749 Gg),全国OC排放量估计增加了29%,EC(从1356年至1857 Gg)增加了37%。住宅,工业和交通运输部门分别贡献了OC总排放量的74–78%,17–21和4–6%,以及EC的49–55、30–34和14–18%。与最近的清单相比,根据最新的本地现场测量(尤其是针对生物燃料炉的测量)更新了排放因子(EF),从而大大降低了OC的排放。汇总全国的观测数据,由于一次排放和气象学的共同影响,在北部和内陆城市发现了较高的OC和EC浓度,而在南部地区发现了较高的OC / EC比率。估计农村地区的OC / EC比率较高偏远地区与图班的地区进行了比较,这归因于生物燃料的使用产生了更多的OC排放,挥发性有机化合物(VOC)前体向SOC的更多生物排放,和/或老化的气溶胶运输。对于大多数站点,在较冷的季节观察到较高的OC,EC和SOC浓度,而SOC / OC降低,尤其是在农村和偏远站点,部分原因是与夏季相比,大气氧化和SOC形成较弱。氧化和人为活动(如生物质燃烧)引起的SOC形成增强被认为对高浓度雾化所致的严重雾霾事件具有关键影响。几项观察性研究表明,从2000年到2010年,环境OC / EC呈上升趋势(但没有单独出现在OC或EC中),证实了全国大气中OC的氧化增加。结合排放估算和观测的结果,通过年度间的比较和相关性分析表明了对先前排放清单的改进。但是,还指出,估计的排放量增长可能快于观察到的增长,并且某些初次OC / EC较高的来源(例如燃烧生物质)仍被低估了。因此,建议进行进一步的研究,以确定住宅部门随时间变化的EFs,并与其他测量方法(例如卫星观测)进行比较,以增进对中国主要碳质航空排放水平和趋势的了解。

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