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The Stability of Interbank Market Network: A Perspective on Contagion and Risk Sharing

机译:银行间市场网络的稳定性:传染和风险分享的视角

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摘要

As an important part of the financial system, interbank market provides banks with liquidity and credit lending and also is the main channel for risk contagion. In this paper, we test the existence of systematic risk contagion within the Chinese interbank market. By building the networks of the Chinese interbank market for each year and using the measure of mutual information, we quantitatively detect the changes of interbank market networks and observe that the correlations between banks become increasingly tighter in recent years. With the bilateral risk exposure among Chinese listed commercial banks, we find that the possibility of systemic risk contagion in Chinese interbank market is fairly small. But of great concern on each individual bank, the matter is different. Our simulation shows that the failures of three special banks (i.e., Agricultural Bank of China and Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China) most likely lead to systemic risk contagion. Furthermore, we test the antirisk ability of the Chinese interbank market from the perspective of risk sharing and discover that the interbank market is stable when the loss scale is lower than forty percent of banks’ total core capital.
机译:作为金融体系的重要组成部分,银行间市场提供了流动性和信贷贷款的银行,也是风险传染的主要渠道。在本文中,我们测试了中国银行间市场内系统风险蔓延的存在。通过建立每年的中国银行间市场的网络并使用相互信息的衡量标准,我们定量检测银行间市场网络的变化,并观察到近年来银行之间的相关性变得越来越紧张。随着中国上市商业银行的双边风险敞口,我们发现中国银行间市场系统风险蔓延的可能性相当小。但对每个银行都非常关注,这件事是不同的。我们的仿真表明,三个特殊银行的故障(即中国农业银行和中国的银行和中国的工商银行)最有可能导致系统性风险传染。此外,我们从风险分享的角度测试中国银行银行市场的反力能力,并发现当损失规模低于银行总资本的40%的百分比时,银行间市场稳定。

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