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Bayesian hypothesis testing: Editorial to the Special Issue on Bayesian data analysis.

机译:贝叶斯假设检测:对贝叶斯数据分析的特殊问题。

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摘要

In the past 20 years, there has been a steadily increasing attention and demand for Bayesian data analysis across multiple scientific disciplines, including psychology. Bayesian methods and the related Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling techniques offered renewed ways of handling old and challenging new problems that may be difficult or impossible to handle using classical approaches. Yet, such opportunities and potential improvements have not been sufficiently explored and investigated. This is 1 of 2 special issues in Psychological Methods dedicated to the topic of Bayesian data analysis, with an emphasis on Bayesian hypothesis testing, model comparison, and general guidelines for applications in psychology. In this editorial, we provide an overview of the use of Bayesian methods in psychological research and a brief history of the Bayes factor and the posterior predictive p value. Translational abstracts that summarize the articles in this issue in very clear and understandable terms are included in the Appendix.
机译:在过去的20年里,跨多个科学学科的贝叶斯数据分析稳步提高和需求,包括心理学。贝叶斯方法和相关的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗采样技术提供了处理旧的和具有挑战性的新问题,可能难以使用古典方法处理困难或不可能处理。然而,这些机会和潜在的改进尚未得到充分探索和调查。这是致力于贝叶斯数据分析主题的心理学方法中的2个特殊问题,重点是贝叶斯假说检测,模型比较和心理学应用的一般指南。在这方面,我们概述了贝叶斯方法在心理研究中的使用以及贝叶斯因子的简要历史和后预测P值。在附录中包含在非常明确和可理解的术语中汇总本问题文章的翻译摘要。

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