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Labor Supply and Taxes: A Survey

机译:劳动力供应和税收:调查

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摘要

I survey the male and female labor supply literatures, focusing on implications for effects of wages and taxes. For males, I describe and contrast results from three basic types of model: static models (especially those that account for nonlinear taxes), life-cycle models with savings, and life-cycle models with both savings and human capital. For women, more important distinctions are whether models include fixed costs of work, and whether they treat demographics like fertility and marriage (and human capital) as exogenous or endogenous. The literature is characterized by considerable controversy over the responsiveness of labor supply to changes in wages and taxes. At least for males, it is fair to say that most economists believe labor supply elasticities are small. But a sizable minority of studies that I examine obtain large values. Hence, there is no clear consensus on this point. In fact, a simple average of Hicks elasticities across all the studies I examine is 0.31. Several simulation studies have shown that such a value is large enough to generate large efficiency costs of income taxation. For males, I conclude that two factors drive many of the differences in results across studies. One factor is use of direct versus ratio wage measures, with studies that use the former tending to find larger elasticities. Another factor is the failure of most studies to account for human capital returns to work experience. I argue that this may lead to downward bias in elasticity estimates. In a model that includes human capital, I show how even modest elasticities—as conventionally measured—can be consistent with large efficiency costs of taxation. For women, in contrast, it is fair to say that most studies find large labor supply elasticities, especially on the participation margin. In particular, I find that estimates of "long-run" labor supply elasticities—by which I mean estimates that allow for dynamic effects of wages on fertility, marriage, education and work experience—are generally quite large. ( JEL D91, J13, J16, J22, J31, H24)
机译:我调查的男性和女性劳动力供给的文献,重点对影响工资和税收的影响。对男性而言,我描述和从三种基本类型的模型的对比结果:静态模型(尤其是那些占非线性税收),与储蓄的生命周期模型,生命周期模型既储蓄和人力资本。对于女性来说,更重要的区别是模型是否包括工作的固定费用,以及他们是否像对待生育和婚姻(和人力资本)人口统计学外源或内源性的。该文献的特点是对劳动供给对工资和税收变化的反应相当大的争议。至少对于男性,它是公平地说,大多数经济学家认为劳动力供给弹性较小。但是,研究有相当一部分少数民族,我检查获得大值。因此,没有在这一点上没有明确的共识。事实上,希克斯弹性在所有的研究中我分析一个简单的平均值为0.31。一些模拟研究表明,这样的值足够大,产生的所得税大的效率成本。对男性而言,我得出结论,有两个因素推动了许多跨研究结果的差异。其中一个因素是使用直接与比工资的措施,与使用前者倾向于寻找更大的弹性研究。另一个因素是大多数研究未能考虑人力资本回报的工作经验。我认为,这可能导致向下的偏差在弹性估计。在包括人力资本的模型,我呈温和怎么连弹性,为常规测量,可与税收大的效率成本是一致的。对于女性,相反,它是公平地说,大多数研究发现大量的劳动力供给弹性,特别是在参与保证金。特别是,我发现“长期”的劳动力供给弹性,我的意思是估计允许生育,婚姻,教育和工作工资的动态效果的经验,一般都是相当大的那个估计。 (JEL D91,J13,J16,J22,J31,H24)

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    Michael P Keane;

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  • 年度 2011
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