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Impacts of ocean albedo alteration on Arctic sea ice restoration and Northern Hemisphere climate

机译:海洋反照会改变对北极海冰恢复和北半球气候影响的影响

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摘要

The Arctic Ocean is expected to transition into a seasonally ice-free state by mid-century, enhancing Arctic warming and leading to substantial ecological and socio-economic challenges across the Arctic region. It has been proposed that artificially increasing high latitude ocean albedo could restore sea ice, but the climate impacts of such a strategy have not been previously explored. Motivated by this, we investigate the impacts of idealized high latitude ocean albedo changes on Arctic sea ice restoration and climate. In our simulated 4xCO_2 climate, imposing surface albedo alterations over the Arctic Ocean leads to partial sea ice recovery and a modest reduction in Arctic warming. With the most extreme ocean albedo changes, imposed over the area 70°–90°N, September sea ice cover stabilizes at ~40% of its preindustrial value (compared to ~3% without imposed albedo modifications). This is accompanied by an annual mean Arctic surface temperature decrease of ~2 °C but no substantial global mean temperature decrease. Imposed albedo changes and sea ice recovery alter climate outside the Arctic region too, affecting precipitation distribution over parts of the continental United States and Northeastern Pacific. For example, following sea ice recovery, wetter and milder winter conditions are present in the Southwest United States while the East Coast experiences cooling. We conclude that although ocean albedo alteration could lead to some sea ice recovery, it does not appear to be an effective way of offsetting the overall effects of CO_2 induced global warming.
机译:预计到本世纪中叶,北冰洋将转变为季节性无冰状态,加剧北极的变暖,并给整个北极地区带来巨大的生态和社会经济挑战。有人提出人为地增加高纬度海洋反照率可以恢复海冰,但是这种策略对气候的影响以前没有被探索过。因此,我们研究了理想的高纬度海洋反照率变化对北极海冰恢复和气候的影响。在我们模拟的4xCO_2气候中,在北冰洋上施加表面反照率变化会导致部分海冰恢复,并适度减少北极变暖。由于在70°–90°N区域内施加了最极端的海洋反照率变化,9月海冰覆盖量稳定在其工业化前值的〜40%(相比之下,未施加反照率修改则为〜3%)。随之而来的是北极表面温度每年平均降低约2°C,但全球平均温度没有实质性降低。强加的反照率变化和海冰恢复也改变了北极地区以外的气候,影响了美国大陆和东北太平洋部分地区的降水分布。例如,随着海冰的恢复,美国西南部出现了湿润和温和的冬季条件,而东海岸则经历了降温。我们得出的结论是,尽管海洋反照率的改变可能导致海冰的恢复,但这似乎并不是抵消CO_2引起的全球变暖的总体影响的有效方法。

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