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A Joint Modeling Analysis of Passengers’ Intercity Travel Destination and Mode Choices in Yangtze River Delta Megaregion of China

机译:乘客城市间旅游目的地和模式选择的联合建模分析及中国山区长江三角洲兆

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摘要

Joint destination-mode travel choice models are developed for intercity long-distance travel among sixteen cities in Yangtze River Delta Megaregion of China. The model is developed for all the trips in the sample and also by two different trip purposes, work-related business and personal business trips, to accommodate different time values and attraction factors. A nested logit modeling framework is applied to model trip destination and mode choices in two different levels, where the lower level is a mode choice model and the upper level is a destination choice model. The utility values from various travel modes in the lower level are summarized into a composite utility, which is then specified into the destination choice model as an intercity impedance factor. The model is then applied to predict the change in passenger number from Shanghai to Yangzhou between scenarios with and without high-speed rail service to demonstrate the applicability. It is helpful for understanding and modeling megaregional travel destination and mode choice behaviors in the context of developing country.
机译:联合目的地模式旅行选择模型是为中国长江三角洲兆内加十六型城市之间的城市间长途旅行而开发的。该模型是为样本中的所有旅行开发的,也由两种不同的旅行目的,与工作相关的业务和个人商务旅行,以适应不同的时间值和吸引因素。将嵌套的Logit建模框架应用于两个不同级别的模型目的地和模式选择,其中较低级别是模式选择模型,上层是目的地选择模型。从较低级别的各种旅行模式的实用程序总结为复合实用程序,然后将目的地选择模型指定为跨度阻抗因子。然后应用该模型以预测与高速铁路服务的情景中上海到扬州乘客数量的变化,以证明适用性。在发展中国家的背景下,有助于了解和建模兆平旅行目的地和模式选择行为。

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