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The Bayes Blind Spot of a finite Bayesian Agent udis a large set

机译:有限贝叶斯代理的贝叶斯盲点 ud是一大套

摘要

The Bayes Blind Spot of a Bayesian Agent is the set of probability measures on a Boolean algebra that are absolutely continuous with respect to the background probability measure (prior) of a Bayesian Agent on the algebra and which the Bayesian Agent cannot learn by conditionalizing no matter what (possibly uncertain) evidence he has about the elements in the Boolean algebra. It is shown that if the Boolean algebra is finite, then the Bayes Blind Spot is a very large set: it has the same cardinality as the set of all probability measures (continuum); it has the same measure as the measure of the set of all probability measures (in the natural measure on the set of measures); and is a ``fat'' (second Baire category) set in topological sense in the set of all probability measures taken with its natural topology.
机译:贝叶斯智能体的贝叶斯盲点是布尔代数上的概率测度集合,相对于代数上的贝叶斯智能体的背景概率测度(先验)绝对连续,并且贝叶斯智能体无法通过条件化来学习他对布尔代数中的元素有什么(可能不确定)证据。结果表明,如果布尔代数是有限的,则贝叶斯盲点是一个非常大的集合:它的基数与所有概率测度(连续)的集合相同;它具有与所有概率测度集中的测度相同的测度(在测度集中的自然测度中);在自然意义上采取的所有概率测度的集合中,是在拓扑意义上设置的``脂肪''(第二Baire类别)。

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