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Анализа и примена на некои од квантитативните методи во деловното одлучување

机译:一些商业决策定量方法的分析与应用

摘要

In the daily business operation decision-makers are faced with manyuduncertainties involved in the decision making. In circumstances where there isuduncertainty, the business decision-making process becomes more complex. Foraudlong time decision-makers cannot rely only on experience and intuition, but theyudmust take into consideration the fact that the complexity of the economic andudbusiness behavior cannot precisely include in process of making right decisionsudwhich will give maximum results.udIncluding the numerous factors that determine the risk and uncertainty inuddecision making, decision-makers in these circumstances cannot perform audcomplete analysis which will provide solutions that will generate positive results forudthe given problem. From that reason, there is a need of using quantitative analysisudwhich includes many quantitative methods and tools that create a wide range ofudnumerical methods that enable review and help in decision making.udThe importance of quantitative methods in business decision making isudperceived from the fact that with their use decision-makers can logically andudobjectively observe the given problem, to determine the key variables and the resultsudof the calculations, to analyze the problem and find an optimal solution, to compareudalternatives and select the best, to compare performances across differentudoperations and different time frames, to explain possible solutions and represent theudbest alternative, to justify the decision, and to overcome all subjective and biasedudattitudes.udThe subject of research in this master's thesis is the use of mathematicaludmodeling in the process of business decision making through the use of createdudmathematical models. The purpose is to develop models in the system of decisionudmaking, incorporating factors such as risk and opportunities, which can predict andudcompare the results of alternative decisions or strategies. In this way they will helpudthe decision-makers to determine the activities in direction toward finding an optimaludpolicy in business decision making and simplify the procedure of solving complexudreal problems.ududKey words: business decisions, quantitative analysis, quantitative methods,udmathematical models.
机译:在日常业务运营中,决策者面临决策中涉及的许多不确定因素。在不确定性的情况下,业务决策过程会变得更加复杂。长时间的决策者不能仅依靠经验和直觉,而是必须考虑以下事实:经济和商业行为的复杂性不能准确地包含在做出正确决策的过程中,这将带来最大的结果。 ud包括许多因素,这些因素决定了决策过程中的风险和不确定性,决策者在这种情况下无法进行不完全分析,从而无法为给定问题提供能够产生积极结果的解决方案。因此,需要使用定量分析 ud,其中包括许多定量方法和工具,这些方法和工具可以创建各种各样的数字方法,从而可以进行审查并有助于决策。 ud定量方法在业务决策中的重要性是决策者可以使用它们逻辑上和客观地观察给定的问题,确定关键变量和计算结果,以分析问题并找到最佳解决方案,比较替代方案并选择最好是比较不同手术和不同时间范围内的表现,解释可能的解决方案并代表最佳选择,以证明决策合理性,并克服所有主观和偏见 udadtitudes。 ud本硕士论文的研究主题是通过使用创建的 udmathematical模型在业务决策过程中使用math udmodeling。目的是在决策/决策制定系统中开发模型,并纳入诸如风险和机会之类的因素,这些因素可以预测和决策替代决策或策略的结果。这样,他们将帮助决策者确定业务活动,以朝着寻找最佳 udpolid业务决策的方向发展,并简化解决复杂 udreal问题的过程。 ud ud关键字:业务决策,定量分析,定量方法,数学模型。

著录项

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    Vasileva Liljana;

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  • 年度 2014
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