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The future of war : pathways towards destructive or constructive alternative futures?

机译:战争的未来:走向破坏性或建设性的替代期货的途径?

摘要

The future of war pertains to war as a future instrument of policy while future warfare unfolds from how wars of the future are to be conducted. Both phenomena contain dynamics that contribute to explaining particular alternative futures. The future of war and its conduct through future warfare also demarcate much of contemporary debates about the future use of armed forces. Matters of altemative military futures, future war and warfare are notimportant per se. However, the contemporary quest for peace, stability, prosperity, and wealth of humanity is historic in kind and one that raised a perSistent interest in the unfolding of military futures and its destructivepotential. Hence, the lingering concern with military futures in order to prevent destructive futures through the intimate relationship between humanity and war. In this article, the author finds no dominant theory or quasitheory that explains convincingly the future demise of war and the subsequent rise of warless futures. None of the arguments presented are immune from substantial criticism. Consequently a number of alternativesconcerning future warfare remain visible. Although progress to lessen destruction is observable from the investigation of rising forms of future warfare, an emergent new warrior class and context for warfare perpetuatesthe difficulty of removing war as a policy option and its execution through different forms of warfare.
机译:战争的未来与战争有关,是未来的政策工具,而未来的战争则取决于如何进行未来的战争。两种现象都包含有助于解释特定替代期货的动力。战争的未来及其在未来战争中的行为,也划定了当代有关武装部队的未来使用的许多辩论。替代性军事前景,未来战争和战争本身并不重要。但是,当代对和平,稳定,繁荣和人类财富的追求是一种历史性的追求,并引起了人们对军事未来的发展及其破坏性潜力的持久兴趣。因此,为了防止人类与战争之间的亲密关系来防止破坏性的未来,人们对军事前途始终心存疑虑。在本文中,作者没有找到能令人信服地解释战争的未来消亡和无战争期的未来崛起的主流理论或准理论。所提出的论点都不能免于实质性的批评。因此,关于未来战争的许多替代方案仍然可见。尽管从减少未来战争形式的调查中可以看到减少破坏的进展,但是新兴的新战士阶层和战争背景使消除战争作为政策选择和通过不同形式的战争执行的困难长期存在。

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  • 作者

    Vrey F.;

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  • 年度 2005
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_ZA
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