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Financial seismic risk assessment of RC bridge piers using a distribution-free approach

机译:采用无分布方法的钢筋混凝土桥墩财务地震风险评估

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摘要

Expected annual loss (EAL), which can be expressed in dollars, is an effective way of communicating the seismic vulnerability of constructed facilities to owners and decision makers. A concise method for computing EAL without the inherent bias of requiring a specific analytical probability distribution is presented. The relationships between intensity measures and engineering demand parameters resulting from an Incremental Dynamic Analysis are sorted into fractal intervals by way of spectral reordering and modified to incorporate additional sources of uncertainty and randomness. Damage measures are defined to determine thresholds for damage states. Damage is quantified by loss ratios defined as repair cost divided by replacement cost. The results are numerically integrated to give EAL. An example illustrating the method is performed, comparing the seismic vulnerability of two highway bridge piers; one pier traditionally designed for ductility, and the other designed for damage avoidance. The damage avoidance pier has a clear advantage over the conventional pier, with an EAL some 85% less than its ductile counterpart. This is shown to be primarily due to its inherent damage-free behaviour for almost all ground motions, except for very rare events that could potentially lead to toppling.
机译:预期的年度损失(EAL)可以用美元表示,是一种向业主和决策者传达建造设施的地震脆弱性的有效方法。提出了一种计算EAL的简洁方法,而没有固有的要求特定分析概率分布的偏见。强度度量和由增量动态分析产生的工程需求参数之间的关系通过频谱重新排序分类为分形区间,并进行了修改,以纳入不确定性和随机性的其他来源。定义了损坏度量来确定损坏状态的阈值。损害通过损失率来量化,损失率定义为维修成本除以重置成本。对结果进行数值积分以得出EAL。举例说明了该方法,比较了两个公路桥墩的地震易损性。一个墩台传统上是为延性而设计的,另一个墩台是为避免损坏而设计的。避免损坏桥墩比传统桥墩具有明显优势,其EAL比其延性桥墩少约85%。事实证明,这主要归因于其几乎所有地面运动的固有无损行为,除了极有可能导致倾覆的罕见事件之外。

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