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The use of downside information to enhance investors' credibility judgments of good news management forecasts

机译:利用下行信息增强投资者对好消息管理预测的信誉判断

摘要

A challenge that corporate managers face is how to enhance the credibility of their good news earnings forecasts. In the first part of my dissertation, I review the literature on two-sided advertisement from the marketing literature and the literature on management credibility in accounting. I also explain how the two-sided advertising literature and the prior credibility framework can serve as the basis for my predictions in my experimental study about a mechanism to enhance management forecast credibility.In the second part of the dissertation, I experimentally test and find evidence that managers can enhance their forecast credibility by supplementing their good news forecasts with downside information. I also document the boundary conditions of the credibility enhancement by the disclosure of downside information. First, I predict and find that the credibility-enhancing effect of the downside supplementary information is moderated by the extent to which investors perceive managers can control the factors described in the downside information. My results also suggest that investors??? perceptions of managements??? forthcomingness mediate the influences of perceived management controllability on investors??? forecast credibility judgments. Second, I predict and find some support that the credibility-enhancing effect is moderated by the proximity of the downside information to the good news forecast. Overall, I add to the literature by showing that managers can use a mechanism ??? namely, supplementing a good news forecast with downside information ??? to enhance the credibility of the good news forecast. My findings are important given that managers desire to understand factors that individually and collectively enhance the credibility of their disclosures.
机译:公司经理面临的挑战是如何提高好消息收益预测的可信度。在论文的第一部分,我从市场营销文献和会计管理信誉文献中回顾了关于双面广告的文献。我还解释了双面广告文献和先验信誉框架如何作为我进行关于提高管理预测信誉的机制的实验研究的基础。在论文的第二部分,我通过实验测试并找到证据管理人员可以通过向负面消息补充好消息预测来增强预测信誉。我还将通过披露不利信息来记录信誉增强的边界条件。首先,我预测并发现,不利的补充信息的信誉增强效果受到投资者对管理者可以控制不利信息中描述的因素的控制程度的影响。我的结果还表明,投资者???管理层的看法???即将到来的调解人认为管理可控性对投资者的影响???预测信誉判断。其次,我预测并获得一些支持,即下行信息与好消息预测的接近程度会减弱信誉增强的作用。总的来说,我通过展示管理者可以使用一种机制来补充文献。即,用下行信息补充好消息预测???以提高好消息预测的可信度。考虑到管理者希望了解能够个体和集体提高其披露公信力的因素,我的发现很重要。

著录项

  • 作者

    Harris Ling L.;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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