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A comparative study of multiple-criteria decision-making methods under stochastic inputs

机译:随机投入下多准则决策方法的比较研究

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摘要

This paper presents an application and extension of multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods to account for stochastic input variables. More in particular, a comparative study is carried out among well-known and widely-applied methods in MCDM, when applied to the reference problem of the selection of wind turbine support structures for a given deployment location. Along with data from industrial experts, six deterministic MCDM methods are studied, so as to determine the best alternative among the available options, assessed against selected criteria with a view toward assigning confidence levels to each option. Following an overview of the literature around MCDM problems, the best practice implementation of each method is presented aiming to assist stakeholders and decision-makers to support decisions in real-world applications, where many and often conflicting criteria are present within uncertain environments. The outcomes of this research highlight that more sophisticated methods, such as technique for the order of preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) and Preference Ranking Organization method for enrichment evaluation (PROMETHEE), better predict the optimum design alternative.
机译:本文介绍了多准则决策方法(MCDM)的应用和扩展,以解决随机输入变量的问题。更具体地,当将MCDM应用于给定部署位置的风力涡轮机支撑结构的选择的参考问题时,在MCDM中众所周知的和广泛应用的方法之间进行了比较研究。连同行业专家的数据一起,研究了六种确定性MCDM方法,以便在可用选项中确定最佳选择,并根据选定的标准进行评估,以期为每个选项分配置信度。在围绕MCDM问题的文献综述之后,提出了每种方法的最佳实践,旨在帮助利益相关者和决策者支持现实应用中的决策,因为在不确定的环境中存在许多经常发生冲突的标准。这项研究的结果强调,更复杂的方法,例如通过与理想解决方案相似的偏好排序技术(TOPSIS)和用于富集评估的偏好排序组织方法(PROMETHEE),可以更好地预测最佳设计方案。

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