Workshop on Improving Sub-Seasonal and Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting for Drought Preparedness. Held in San Diego, California on May 27-29, 2015.

摘要

Through a series of prior annual workshops on climate variability, climate extremes, and drought held by the Council and the California Department of Water Resources (CDWR), some possible opportunities for improving forecasting skill at a regional scale have been identified. The purpose of this May 2015 workshop was to develop a Western vision for improving monthly and seasonal precipitation forecasting, loosely modeled after the Council’s vision for an observing network for Western extreme precipitation. The analyses performed to understand patterns responsible for heavy precipitation events at a regional scale – such as atmospheric river storms or the Southwest monsoon -- also point out pathways to explore for improving forecasting of these events.