Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective: Problems and Trends in 2005. Summary and Conclusions from a Study for the Swedish Ministry of Defence

摘要

The aim of the report is to analyze current trends of Russian development in order to draw conclusions on Russian military development in a ten-year perspective. The analysis is also put into the context of earlier ten-year assessments. In doing so, an effort is made to follow present trends as well as to find ruptures and discontinuities. As in earlier reports, democratic, social, economic and political factors that influence Russia's military capability are taken into account. The project also draws on findings in recent studies performed at FOI, for example on Russia's strategic commodities and on Russia's relations with NATO and the EU. Although primarily written for defense and foreign policy makers, the report is also directed to readers with an interest in current Russian affairs.