A Process for Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting in Local Government: An Information Bulletin of the Management, Finance and Personnel Task Force of the Urban Consortium

摘要

This is one of five information bulletins developed by the Urban Consortium, a coalition of 34 major, urban governments working together with federal officials and private industry to encourage the development and transfer of products and systems addressing urban needs. Task forces are used to systematically identify the common needs of its members, establish priorities, develop research and development agenda, and stimulate research and development priorities. This report reviews forecasting techniques which are available to local governments for projecting their revenues and expenditures. A survey summary presents the systems that the majority of the jurisdictions contacted are currently using for forecasting, how satisfactory the present methods appear, and what, if any improvements are planned. The report is of interest to elected officials, chief administrative officials, and financial administrators in local governments. Federal agencies which are developing their research programs on this topic will be interested in having indications of the quality of forecasting systems presently being used.