Western Gulf of Alaska Petroleum Development Scenarios Local Socioeconomic Impacts

摘要

The socioeconomic report projects and analyzes how the proposed Western Gulf of Alaska OCS Lease Sale no. 46 might affect the growth and community infrastructure of Seward and Kodiak, Alaska. Growth impact forecasts were prepared for a base case (without OCS Sale no. 46) and for three (low, mean, high) hypothetical petroleum development scenarios. In the growth impact analysis, particular consideration was given to the following factors: employment, population, housing and land use, public utilities (water, sewer, electric power, solid waste, communications), police and fire protection, health and social services, education, recreation and local governmental finances. The report Appendix describes the methodology used to develop employment and population growth forecasts (especially in relation to the OCS development scenarios) and to translate this growth into forecasts of future demand for housing and land, community facilities and services, and future impact upon local public revenues and expenditures.