Urban Travel Demand Forecasting Project, Final Report Series. Volume I: Overview and Summary

摘要

The project has been carried out to provide transportation engineers and planners with information necessary to select and policy-oriented travel demand models which were developed from observations on individual households. Emphasis focused on refining and testing methods for applying models and determining the limits of their validity. Consideration has been given to all aspects of a transportation planning effort from survey and network data collection, through model specifications, calibration and validation, to issues of aggregation and policy forecasting as well as policy applications on region-wide, corridor, and local areas. Each phase has been explored at two levels: specific studies in each aspect of the project, and assessment of the merits and limitations of the methodologies employed with suggested preferable strategies for planning. The project focused on the introduction of rail rapid transit service (BART) in the San Francisco Bay Area.