Development of an IDEAS (Industrial Disruptions Economic Analysis System) Critical Industries Strike Impact Assessing System

摘要

A strike experience model has been developed by extending the adaptive form of expectations. This model has been applied to the steel industry. Integrating the possible candidates of an emergency signal into the model, it was found that man-days idle during the year, as percent of total working time, can serve as an emergency indicator. The study reports other results that would enhance the understanding of the strike behavior.