An Inter-Regional Migration Model: A Disaggregated Approach

摘要

The research, supported by the Dutch National Physical Planning Agency, is meant to deepen the insights in factors influencing the intensity, composition and direction of inter-regional migration flows. Several models describing the migration processes have been developed. In this paper both types of models are described and compared. The entropy model has a drawback in lacking specification errors. But it is very easy to extend that model with an error term and then the method of least squares, can be applied for calibrating the parameters. In logit models, using the Weibull distribution, the specification term has been integrated into the constant term. The logit model as an individual description of the behaviour can be aggregated to groups of households by adding a perception error term for the deviation of average group behaviour. It is this perception of the error term which makes it possible to apply the method of least squares.