Earthquake Prediction Response and Options for Public Policy

摘要

This monograph reviews possible responses on the part of groups, organizations, and political bodies to scientifically credible earthquake predictions. Following a discussion of the status of earthquake prediction, the book describes the methods used to gather the data on which its determinations are based. A model of earthquake prediction and warning is presented, divided into three elements--giving information, interpreting information, and responding to information. The responses of people and groups are estimated with reference to the three elements. The final chapter suggests options for public policy and action to maximize benefits and minimize costs of earthquake prediction.