Alaska OCS (Outer Continental Shelf) Socioeconomic Studies Program. Technical Report Number 68. North Aleutian Shelf Statewide and Regional Demographic and Economic Systems Impacts Analysis

摘要

This study examines economic and demographic impacts of the proposed OCS petroleum development of the North Aleutian Shelf. The study begins with historical baseline analyses of the population and economies of the state of Alaska, and of the Anchorage, Aleutian Islands, and Bristol Bay census divisions. Base case projections of conditions in the absence of OCS development are prepared for these areas and, subsequently, the impacts of OCS development are examined. The statewide, Anchorage, and Bristol Bay projections used the MAP statewide and regional models, while the Aleutian Islands projections used the SCIMP model. Both of these models were developed at the University of Alaska Institute of Social and Economic Research. The model's projections reflect numerous assumptions about future exogenous activities.