Evaluating Alternative Strategies for Reducing Residential Fire Loss: The Fire Loss Model

摘要

This report provides a preliminary documentation of a decision analysis framework for evaluating alternative residential fire loss reduction strategies. The framework, when it is completed, will provide a systematic means for assessing the costs and losses occurring under different intervention strategies. The current report focuses entirely on the problem of assessing fire losses, as this is where most of the uncertainty on system performance occurs. Subsequent reports will address the cost of the alternatives, after which the alternatives can be compared on a comprehensive cost/benefit basis.