Reassessment of the Excess Capacity Issue

摘要

The purpose of the report is to reassess the 1984 Iowa generation reserve margin in view of allegations of data errors, model inaccuracies, and forecast uncertainties. The scope of the reassessment is as follows: (1) re-evaluate the '1984 Iowa Generating Reserve Margin' (IGRM) study utilizing the best available data and the EGEAS model; (2) check the sensitivity of the results to reasonable load forecasts which might have been made in 1978 and 1981--the time at which studies to build or defer Louisa were completed by the Iowa utilities.