Framework for Uncertainty Analysis of the NAPAP (National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program) Emissions Inventory

摘要

The report gives results of a project to develop a methodologies framework to assess the uncertainties associated with the emissions values as presented in the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP) emissions inventory and to implement a prototype computer system to estimate the uncertainties associated with the base NAPAP emissions values. Previous projects that addressed the assignment of quantitative values to the uncertainties in emissions data were reviewed, and a statistical methodology was developed that allows the computation of more accurate uncertainty values. Auxiliary data required to carry out the computations were identified, and the prototype computer system to implement the calculations has been designed and is being implemented.