MOUSE Modular Oriented Uncertainty SystEm: A Computerized Uncertainty AnalysisSystem. Project Summary

摘要

Environmental engineering calculations involving uncertainties, are far beyondthe capabilities of conventional analysis for any but the simplest of models. MOUSE (an acronym for Modular Oriented Uncertainty System) deals with the problem of uncertainties in models that consist of one or more algebraic equations. It was especially designed for use by those with little or no knowledge of computer languages, programming, or simulation. It is designed to be run on almost any personal computer, easy and fast to learn, and has all of the features needed for substantive uncertainty analysis (built-in) probability distributions, plotting and graphing capabilities, sensitivity analysis, interest functions for cost analyses, etc.). Moreover, a series of unique companion utility programs write much of the necessary computer code for the user, help in analyzing sample data to determine the probability distributions that best fit those data, check each program for errors in syntax, and assist in finding logical errors in the model that is subject to uncertainty.