Energy Technology Choices: Shaping Our Future

摘要

The report provides a broad overview of energy choices facing the Nation. It is not an exhaustive analysis of any one technology; rather, it draws together the main themes of OTA reports from the past 16 years, and other documents, into an outline of the main directions the country could follow. The report contrasts a baseline scenario (no major initiatives or surprises) with five variations representing different paths the Nation could follow: emphasizing production of conventional fuels, improving efficiency of use to the economic optimum, minimizing the use of energy as far as is technologically possible, emphasizing renewable energy sources, and emphasizing nuclear energy. Any of these scenarios could be the most appropriate path depending on the resolution of uncertainties over climate changes induced by the greenhouse effect, technological developments, and resource discoveries. Each scenario presents risks as well as opportunities. The report describes the choices available to policymakers and the implications of choosing one path versus another.