Application of Decision Analysis to a Maintenance Strategy for Naval Surface Ships.

摘要

The maintenance problem aboard naval ships is one of maximizing the effect of application of scarce resources in order to restore and maintain ship system effectiveness. Several generalized decisions constitute the maintenance administration process including (1) decision to perform preventive maintenance (2) decisions to perform corrective maintenance, (3) decisions regarding which to do first in complex situations,and (4) the overhaul planning process. The decisions are critically examined from a decision analysis standpoint to identify the action,events,probabilities,and potential consequences which make up the decision. A system of costs and potential costs is proposed to serve as the decision criterion and is applied to the analysis in this case. Although application to specific real-world maintenance problems may require considerable adaption,it is asserted that structuring the decision in proposed format will improve the quality of the decisions.