Structure of Manpower Planning, a Contribution of Simulation Experiments with Aggregation Methods

摘要

Two ways to estimate the possibilities of matching manpower availability to manpower requirement in the organization activity plan of a task oriented unit of an organization are considered. One estimation procedure is based on detailed information about the personnel groups which are located in the task oriented unit. The other procedure is based on aggregate information about total availability and total personnel requirement in the whole unit. A situation for the case that steps are taken on the basis of detailed information and for the case that steps are taken on the basis of aggregate information was analyzed. Results show that use of aggregate information in drawing up personnel plans causes no extra problems if the maximum potential mobility is high or if future manpower requirements in personnel groups is highly correlated.