Overview of global greenhouse effects

摘要

This report reviews the factors that influence the evolution of climate and climate change. Recent studies have confirmed that CO(sub 2), O(sub 3), N(sub 2)O, CH(sub 4), and chlorofluorocarbons are increasing in abundance in the atmosphere and can alter the radiation balance by means of the so-called greenhouse effect. The greenhouse effect is as well-accepted phenomenon, but the prediction of its consequences is much less certain. Attempts to detect a human-caused temperature change are still inconclusive. This report presents a discussion of the scientific basis for the greenhouse effect, its relationship to the abundances of greenhouse gases, and the evidence confirming the increases in the abundances. The basis for climate modeling is presented together with an example of the model outputs from one of the most sophisticated modeling efforts. Uncertainties in the present understanding of climate are outlined.