Examination of Sandia's phenomenological computer codes and the use of intelligent searching in risk assessments

摘要

We have developed a method for intelligently searching the space of parameter values to deduce, with as few computations as possible, the values that are most likely to lead to high risk. We have applied the method to a problem involving electrical initiation of an explosive due to the response of the system to fires. We have shown that our method can locate potential risk vulnerabilities with far fewer time-consuming physical response computations than would be necessary using standard sampling approaches.