Radionuclide and Colloid Transport in the Culebra Dolomite and Associated Complementary Cumulative Distribution Functions in the 1996 Performance Assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant;Reliability Engineering and System Safety (Special Journal Issue)

摘要

The following topics related to radionuclide and colloid transport in the Culebra Dolomite in the 1996 performance Assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) are presented: (1) mathematical description of models; (2) uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results arising from subjective (i.e., epistemic) uncertainty for individual releases; and (3) construction of complementary cumulative distribution functions (CCDFs) arising from stochastic (i.e., aleatory) uncertainty. The presented results indicate that radionuclide and colloid transport in the Culebra Dolomite does not constitute a serious threat to the effectiveness of the WIPP as a disposal facility for transuranic waste. Even when the effects of uncertainty analysis inputs are taken into account, no radionuclide transport to the boundary with the accessible environment was observed; thus the associated CCDFs for comparison with the boundary line specified in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's standard for the geologic disposal of radioactive waste (40 CFR 191, 40 CFR 194) are degenerate in the sense of having a probability of zero of exceeding a release of zero.