PROGRAM PLANNING AND ANALYSIS Consensus Forecast of U.S. Energy Supply and Demand to the Year 2000

摘要

Methods used in forecasting energy supply and demand are described, and recent forecasts are reviewed briefly Forecasts to the year 2000 are displayed in tables and graphs and are used to prepare consensus forecasts for each form of fuel and energy supplynFuel demand and energy use by consuming sector are tabulated for 1972 and 1975 for the various fuel forms The distribution of energy consumption by use sector, as projected for the years 1985 and 2000 in the ERDA-48 planning report (Scenario V), are normalized to match the consensus energy supply forecasts The results are tabulated listing future demand for each fuel and energy form by each major energy-use categorynRecent estimates of U S energy resources are also reviewed briefly and are presented in tables for each fuel and energy form The outlook for fossil fuel resources to the year 2040, as developed by the Institute for Energy Analysis at the Oak Ridge Associated Universities, is also presented.