A CONSENSUS OF SEVERAL FORECASTS FOR THE WINTER OF 1979-80

摘要

As fossil fuels become more scarce, extreme variations in the climate have a potentially more disruptive effect on energy and therefore on the economy and society. For this reason there is a rising concern about energy and climate both in private industry and in governmental regulatory and information offices. Energy managers and analysts agree that:n1. Present methods for relating climate variations to energy use or disruption of energy supply are not sufficiently accurate;the economic and societal effects of adverse weather are largely unknown.n2. The improvement of monthly and seasonal forecasts would be of help in the allocation of scarce fuels.