SRC-II DEMONSTRATION PROJECT PHASE ZERO TASK NUMBER 3 DELIVERABLE NUMBER 9 VOL. 9 OF 9 MARKET ASSESSMENT PETROLEUM MARKETS OUTLOOK-SUPPORTING REPORTS

摘要

The trend in free world crate oil production is predicated on:ne A resource base remaining to be produced of about 1,100 billion barrels (some 10X below the consensus estimate at the 1977 World Energy Conference in Istanbul and reduced from that estimate because of further disappointments in exploration results in new regions).n• Gross reserves additions of IS billion barrels a year for another decade with a steady decline thereafter.n• A gradual decline in the reserve life index to 25 years and maintenance of the index at the level for as long as possible.n• Related production limits in Iran and Saudi Arabia of 4 MMBD and 8.5 MMBD to 10.5 MMBD respectively.