Econometric Model for the Disaggregation of State-Level Electricity Demand Forecasts to the Service Area

摘要

An econometric model for the disaggregation of state-level electricity demand forecasts to the service area is presented. Based on demand models for the service area and the remainder of the state in which it is located, a model which explains the service area's share of the state's demand is developed and estimated for six service areas using econometric techniques. The share is then forecasted and combined with the forecasts for state demand presented in Regional Econometric Model for Forecasting Electricity Demand by Sector and by State to obtain service area forecasts to 1990.