Analysis of Trends in Passenger Car Retirements Vs New Car Registrations

摘要

An overview of historical trends in new car registrations and scrappage is provided. In addition, it presents a qualitative assessment of the relationship between changes in scrappage and new vehicle registrations. A more quantitative analysis of scrappage levels vs new car registrations is outlined. The results are summarized and an approach for incorporating a relationship between scrappage and new car registrations into the Highway Fuel Consumption Model is outlined. (ERA citation 09:035695)