National Interim Energy-Consumption Survey: Exploring the Variability in Energy Consumption

摘要

Efforts to model the variation in total energy consumption and consumption by end-use reported in the National Interim Energy Consumption Survey are described. The report concentrates on regression models for describing the variability in natural gas and electricity consumption for households living in single-family detached houses. Section 1 provides a description of the NIECS sample data and the subsets of it that were used in the analyses. Several appendixes supplement this discussion. Section 2 presents a theoretical model for describing a household's energy consumption. Section 3 presents some graphical summaries of the data which serve to explain the specific models that were fit to the data and leads to some speculation about what contributes to their lack of fit. Section 4 describes the empirical models fit to the data, and the method of fitting, and relates them to the discussion in Section 2. Section 5 summarizes the results of the preceding sections and contains some speculation on interpretation of the model coefficients obtained in Section 4 and some potential uses of the model. (ERA citation 06:033449)