Industrial End-Use Planning Methodologyn(INDEPTH):Demonstration of Design Volume 1:Econometric Forecasting Models

摘要

This report describes work conducted in Phase II of EPRI research project RP2217 titled, "Industrial End-Use Planning Methodology (INDEPTH)." The overall project objective is to design and demonstrate a methodology for forecasting and shaping industrial electricity use that can be applied by utilities at the service area level. To date the emphasis of the INDEPTH project has been on (1) designing the system (Phase I) and (2) demonstrating the feasibility of the design (Phase II). The INDEPTH system operates on three analytically distinct levels:(1) Econometric models, (2) Process models, and (3) Equipment models. The feasibility of the design was demonstrated by estimating and testing econometric models, by developing nominal data bases for the process and equipment models, and by devel¬oping research codes for the three models.