OECD/IEA/ETSAP Energy-Environment Systems Analysis. Towards Fossil-Nuclear Symbiosis.

摘要

Fuel supply and demand mix as well as energy technology configuration are analyzed by the MARKAL model for the future Japanese energy system, when reduction of environmental emissions is taken into consideration. The Reference Energy System (RES) covers whole sectors, i.e., fuel conversion and energy transformation, industry, residential and commercial, and transportation sectors. Environmental emissions considered here are SOx, NOx, CO/sub 2/, and radio activity, and the time horizon is an interval from 1985 to 2030. Both SOx and NOx emission can be reduced much by present art of reduction measures. From the view points of cost effectiveness, abatement technologies including fluegas treatments take the highest priority and fuel switching and technology substitution follow in this order. For CO/sub 2/ reduction, both nuclear and renewable energy technologies are essential among them.