Examining Advanced Fossil-Fueled Technologies with a Utility Capacity-Planning Model.

摘要

This report describes the second part of a two-phase study that investigated the capabilities of capacity-planning models to characterize advanced, fossil-fuel-fired, electrical generating technologies in least-cost expansion plans. The overall objective was to identify a modeling tool that would give the US Department of Energy's Office of Fossil Energy the capability to analyze a broad spectrum of issues that are evolving in the capacity-planning area, using an approach with procedures similar to those followed by electric utilities. In Phase 1, capacity expansion models were reviewed and selected. In Phase 2, the chosen model was exercised with selected case studies, results were examined, and sensitivities to technology characterizations and modeling procedures were identified. Phase 2 began early in 1986, and a final draft of this report on the Phase 2 work was prepared in April 1987. The technology characterizations and cost estimates provided therein reflected the best estimates as of mid-1986. Although these characterizations and cost estimates have changed since this work was originally performed, the purpose of this report is still relevant -- to demonstrate the capabilities and sensitivities of capacity planning models in analyzing advanced fossil energy technologies. Therefore, because the goal is to emphasize the procedural aspects of expansion planning rather than present any final conclusions about the advanced technologies, the cost and performance estimates have not been updated for this final publication of the report. 29 refs., 3 figs., 14 tabs.