Future Implications of the Strategic Relationships Between the United States,Russia, and Germany for Poland's Security Policy

摘要

This research examines some aspects of the European security problem in the nextfifteen years: the future position of Russia and Germany as major strategic players with focus on the mutual relationships between them and possible threats to Poland's security stemming from their increasing role as well as the implications for the US strategy in Europe. The analysis of future scenarios gives the picture of Germany as a country that consequently will transform its economic prosperity into political power within an increasing sphere of political, economic, and cultural dependence. Russia will play a decisively more important role and will try to restore its previous position as a world superpower. To neutralize such trends some determinants of Poland's security policy were defined to coincide with American and Polish interests in the region.