Assessing National Guard Readiness to Respond to Weapons of Mass Destruction Terrorist Events.

摘要

There continues to be discussion about the military's readiness to assist civil authorities in response to weapons of mass destruction (WMD) incidents. Some suggest that the new demands of homeland security are so significant that total reorganization of the National Guard is required. Others cite the National Guard's long history of supporting traditional military missions, homeland defense and consequence management as proof that major reorganization is not necessary. This paper proposes that scenario-based analysis provides a method to help ascertain and achieve required levels of readiness. Broad, unsubstantiated assumptions and conclusions have not provided enough specificity or rationale for meaningful decision making. This paper discusses the traditional role of the National Guard in homeland security and the probability of a WMD terrorist event. The paper then proposes a scenario- based model that analyzes the probability of specific WMD usage and its potential impact on the civilian community. From this model, one can identify military missions unique to WMD consequence management. Analysis can then determine specific readiness deficiencies and recommendations for corrections. In this paper, the terrorist use of a radiological dispersion device (RDD) is modeled to illustrate the concept of scenario-based readiness planning. The paper concludes with specific recommendations to improve military readiness for response to RDDs.