Impending Bipolarity: Who's With Us?

摘要

This study explores hegemonic transition from the point of view of Brazil, Russia, and India. Using Power Transition and Hegemonic Stability Theories, it assumes that international system will rather peacefully transition to a new bipolarity between the United States and China. It examines each nation in turn from economic, military, and diplomatic power perspectives and their bilateral relations with the U.S. and China. It then predicts the implications of this new bipolarity. The greatest implication is their net effect on the perpetuation of the current international system. They will reinforce extant norms and institutions if given power and influence commensurate with their rising self-perceptions. Conversely, they will weaken the system if their newfound power goes unrecognized. It finds that America must leverage its own power to partner with the rising powers, enabling their rise within this system.