Applying the Integrated Risk Assessment and Management Model (IRAMM) to the Assessment of Risk for Non-fuel Strategic Materials.

摘要

This paper describes the Integrated Risk Assessment and Management Model (IRAMM), a methodology designed to assess strategic risk to the United States in the area of national defense. IRAMM was recently used to help assess the risks that might result from potential shortfalls in certain strategic materials. IRAMM employs structured, interactive one-on-one interviews with national security experts. These experts provide assessments of both the probability and the consequences of potential future scenarios that cause risk to the Nation. Several enhancements to the model are explained and potential applications are explored.