Belief Network Decision Support Method Applied to Aerospace Surveillance and Battle Management Projects

摘要

This report demonstrates the application of a Bayesian Belief Network decision support method for Force Level Systems Engineering to a collection of projects related to Aerospace Surveillance and Battle Management. The proposed method is used to determine the most credible combinations of these projects, and the most plausible evolutions of the force structures that they deliver over time. Since the analysis is based on strictly limited information, the results that are obtained are of a highly tentative nature. Nevertheless, the potential utility of such an approach is convincingly demonstrated.