Prophesy or Pie in the Sky. Canadian Forces Transformation vs the Future Operating Environment

摘要

The recent Canadian Defense Policy Statement outlines a range of defense structures and capabilities aimed at transforming the Canadian Forces (CF) and making them more relevant, responsive, and effective in the years ahead. Behind the leadership of General Rick Hillier, the Canadian Forces are in the midst of the most energetic and focused transformation ever, and once complete, few elements of the Canadian Forces, whether operational, institutional, or administrative, will be left untouched. Will these transformation initiatives be prophetic, delivering what is needed for future operations, or simply a big 'Pie in the Sky,' delivering a CF that looks different from the outside but is really not more capable. This essay will answer this question by examining the key factors that should drive this transformation, such as the expected future roles, missions, and tasks of the Canadian Forces and the future operating environment. It will conclude that, despite a few shortcomings, General Hillier's plan is on the mark and will predispose the Canadian Forces to be a much more relevant, responsive, and effective element of national power.