Investigation of the Quantification of the Probability of Occurrence of Software Engineering Project Risks with Bayesian Probability

摘要

This work undertakes an analysis of the methods used in the field of software engineering to measure the probability of occurrence of identified software engineering project risks. The purpose of this work is to investigate the viability of the exclusive use of quantitative values to measure the probability of occurrence of identified project risks within the field of software engineering rather than the qualitative values used in some probability of occurrence scales. More specifically, the goal of this analysis is to investigate the viability of achieving more precise and less subjective quantitative measurements of the probability of occurrence of identified software engineering project risks with Bayesian probability.